Empirical Research On China's Foreign Trade And Economic Growth: 1979-2008

被引:0
|
作者
Lei, Qizhen [1 ]
机构
[1] Liaocheng Univ, Sch Management, Liaocheng 252059, Shandong, Peoples R China
关键词
foreign trade; economic growth; Co-integration; Error Correction Model; Granger Causality Test;
D O I
暂无
中图分类号
F [经济];
学科分类号
02 ;
摘要
Based on the relevant data from 1979 to 2008 and by Co-integration and Granger Causality Test, this paper expounds the empirical relations between foreign trade and economic growth in China. Co-integration test discoverys that the long-term relation between them has positive correlation, ECM indicates that the short-term relation between them has negative correlation, but the latter influence is much smaller than the former; Although the short-term disequilibrium is inevitable, it can be in convergence to the long-term equilibrium and The foreign trade change causes the economic growth, but is not in the reverse direction As a result, the paper puts forward the corresponding policy proposals.
引用
收藏
页码:208 / 212
页数:5
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