Modelling sustainable development: systems dynamic and input-ouput approaches

被引：30
|
作者：
Moffatt, I [1 ]
Hanley, N
机构：
[1] Univ Stirling, Dept Environm Sci, Stirling FK9 4LA, Scotland
[2] Univ Glasgow, Dept Econ, Glasgow G12 8QQ, Lanark, Scotland
来源：
ENVIRONMENTAL MODELLING & SOFTWARE | 2001年 / 16卷 / 06期
基金：
英国经济与社会研究理事会;
关键词：
sustainable development; dynamic systems; hierarchical modelling; input-output analysis;
D O I：
10.1016/S1364-8152(01)00024-X
中图分类号：
TP39 [计算机的应用];
学科分类号：
081203 ; 0835 ;
摘要：
This paper discusses alternative approaches to modelling economy-environment systems from the perspective of sustainable development. We distinguish between systems' dynamic methods and economic approaches, including input-output (I/O) models. We then discuss the structure of two models constructed for Scotland. Firstly, a hierarchical, dynamic model is used to look at long-term trends in population, resource use and pollution. Secondly, an environmentally extended I/O model is used to estimate the effects of economic policy and structural change on pollution levels and output. We conclude with some comments on the possible future developments in modelling sustainable development. (C) 2001 Elsevier Science Ltd. All rights reserved.
引用
收藏
页码：545 / 557
页数：13
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