Threshold conditions for a non-autonomous epidemic model with vaccination

被引:11
|
作者
Zhang, Tailei [1 ]
Teng, Zhidong [1 ]
Gao, Shujing [1 ]
机构
[1] Xinjiang Univ, Coll Math & Syst Sci, Urumqi 830046, Peoples R China
关键词
epidemiology; non-autonomous SIRVS model; permanence; extinction; disease; threshold conditions;
D O I
10.1080/00036810701772196
中图分类号
O29 [应用数学];
学科分类号
070104 ;
摘要
In this article, we wish to investigate the dynamical behaviour of an SIRVS epidemic model with time-dependent coefficients. Under the quite weak assumptions, we give some new threshold conditions which determine whether or not the disease will go to extinction. The permanence and extinction of the infectious disease is studied. When the system degenerates into periodic or almost periodic system, the corresponding sharp threshold results are obtained for permanent endemicity versus extinction in terms of asymptotic time. In order to illustrate our theoretical analysis, some numerical simulations are also included in the end.
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页码:181 / 199
页数:19
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