Anthropogenic sulfur dioxide emissions: 1850-2005

被引:619
|
作者
Smith, S. J. [1 ]
van Aardenne, J. [2 ]
Klimont, Z. [3 ]
Andres, R. J. [4 ]
Volke, A. [1 ]
Arias, S. Delgado [1 ]
机构
[1] Pacific NW Natl Lab, Joint Global Change Res Inst, College Pk, MD 20740 USA
[2] Commiss European Communities, European Commiss Joint Res Ctr, I-21027 Ispra, VA, Italy
[3] Int Inst Appl Syst Anal, A-2361 Laxenburg, Austria
[4] Oak Ridge Natl Lab, Div Environm Sci, Oak Ridge, TN 37831 USA
关键词
BIOMASS BURNING EMISSIONS; UPDATED EMISSIONS; NITROGEN-OXIDES; EAST-ASIA; INVENTORY; AEROSOLS; SO2; PROJECTIONS; SCENARIOS; TRENDS;
D O I
10.5194/acp-11-1101-2011
中图分类号
X [环境科学、安全科学];
学科分类号
08 ; 0830 ;
摘要
Sulfur aerosols impact human health, ecosystems, agriculture, and global and regional climate. A new annual estimate of anthropogenic global and regional sulfur dioxide emissions has been constructed spanning the period 1850 2005 using a bottom-up mass balance method, calibrated to country-level inventory data. Global emissions peaked in the early 1970s and decreased until 2000, with an increase in recent years due to increased emissions in China, international shipping, and developing countries in general. An uncertainty analysis was conducted including both random and systemic uncertainties. The overall global uncertainty in sulfur dioxide emissions is relatively small, but regional uncertainties ranged up to 30%. The largest contributors to uncertainty at present are emissions from China and international shipping. Emissions were distributed on a 0.5 degrees grid by sector for use in coordinated climate model experiments.
引用
收藏
页码:1101 / 1116
页数:16
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