I introduce a general equilibrium model of non-optimizing agents that respond to aggregate variables (prices and the average demand profile of agent types) by putting a "prior" on their demand. An interim equilibrium is defined by the posterior demand distribution of agent types conditional on market clearing. A Bayesian general equilibrium (BGE) is an interim equilibrium such that aggregate variables are correctly anticipated. Under weak conditions, I prove the existence and the informational efficiency of BGE. I discuss the conditions under which the set of Bayesian and Walrasian equilibria coincide and show that the Walrasian equilibrium arises from a large class of non-optimizing behavior.
机构:
Univ York, Dept Econ & Related Studies, York YO10 5DD, N Yorkshire, EnglandUniv York, Dept Econ & Related Studies, York YO10 5DD, N Yorkshire, England
Balasko, Yves
Geanakoplos, John
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Yale Univ, New Haven, CT USA
Santa Fe Inst, Santa Fe, NM 87501 USAUniv York, Dept Econ & Related Studies, York YO10 5DD, N Yorkshire, England