Ruin problems in the theory of discrete-time risk with finite horizon

被引:17
|
作者
Picard, P
Lefèvre, C
Coulibaly, I
机构
[1] Univ Lyon 1, Inst Sci Financiere & Assurances, F-69622 Villeurbanne, France
[2] Free Univ Brussels, Inst Stat & Rech Operationnelle, B-1050 Brussels, Belgium
关键词
nonuniform process of premiums; arithmetic distribution of losses; generalised Appell polynomials; probability and severity of ruin;
D O I
10.1239/jap/1059060886
中图分类号
O21 [概率论与数理统计]; C8 [统计学];
学科分类号
020208 ; 070103 ; 0714 ;
摘要
We consider a discrete-time risk model which describes the evolution of the reserves of an insurance company at periodic dates fixed in advance. The amount of loss per unit of time corresponds to independent and identically distributed random variables with arithmetic distribution, and the process of the receipt of premiums is assumed to be deterministic, nonnegative but not uniform (instead of being constant and equal to I as in the standard, compound binomial model). For this model, we determine the probability of ruin (or of non-ruin), as well as the distribution of the severity of the eventual ruin, with some finite horizon. A compact and efficient exact expression is found by bringing up-to-date a generalised family of Appell polynomials. The method used is illustrated with some numerical examples.
引用
收藏
页码:527 / 542
页数:16
相关论文
共 50 条