Probability of ruin in a discrete-time risk model

被引:12
|
作者
Picard, P
Lefèvre, C
机构
[1] Univ Lyon 1, Inst Sci Financiere & Assurances, F-69622 Villeurbanne, France
[2] Free Univ Brussels, Inst Stat & Rech Operationnelle, B-1050 Brussels, Belgium
关键词
nonuniform process of premiums; arithmetic distribution of losses; ruin with infinite horizon; generalised Appell polynomials;
D O I
10.1239/jap/1059060887
中图分类号
O21 [概率论与数理统计]; C8 [统计学];
学科分类号
020208 ; 070103 ; 0714 ;
摘要
We continue the study of the discrete-time risk model introduced by Picard et al. (2003). The cumulative loss process (S-t)(tis an element ofN) has independent and stationary increments, the increments per unit of time having nonnegative integer values with distribution {a(i), i is an element of N} and mean (a) over bar. The premium receipt process (c(k))(kis an element ofN) is deterministic, nonnegative and nonuniform; in addition, we assume it to be regular in order for there is bounded as the time to exist a constant c > a such that the deviation Sigma(k=0)(t) (c(k) - c) t varies. We are interested in whether or not ruin occurs within a finite time. If T is the time of ruin, we obtain P(T = infinity) as the limit of P(T > t) as t --> infinity, firstly in the particular case where c = 1/d for some positive d E N, and then in the general case for positive c under the condition that a(0) > 1/2.
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页码:543 / 556
页数:14
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