Forecasting development risks of regional economy

The role of planning of target indicators and forecasting of risks of economic stability significantly increases in the conditions of economic independence of regional development. At the present stage, a strategic approach to the formation of the region's economic potential is required. The purpose of the research is to substantiate the directions of modernization of the management system of mesoeconomics. The paper considers the mechanism of the preemptive-regulatory impact on the economy in identifying the risk factors of failure to meet the development targets. The process of economic and mathematical forecasting of key indicators of the region is presented on the example of the Rostov region. The authors substantiate an iterative algorithm of analyzing the risks of development of the region's reproductive base. The directions of regulation of the leading sectors of the economy in conditions of structurally-dynamic instability are the result of the research.