Forecasting model of highway traffic accidents based on Gray System theory and its application

被引:0
|
作者
Huang, TY [1 ]
Ligang, HFQ [1 ]
机构
[1] Chongqing Inst Technol, Inst Comp, Chongqing 400050, Peoples R China
关键词
traffic accidents; gray system; GM (1,1); forecast; model;
D O I
暂无
中图分类号
TP18 [人工智能理论];
学科分类号
081104 ; 0812 ; 0835 ; 1405 ;
摘要
Traffic accidents have become a more and more important factor to restrict the development of economy and affect the safety of human. Gray System quests for the inner relation through the original data, this is an approach to find out the rule of data through other data. Highway traffic accident forecasting model based on Gray System uses some original data, through theory of Gray System, processing the data and modeling GM (1,1). Through the validation of actual data, error of GM (1,1) is minor, it can be used in actual forecasting.
引用
收藏
页码:1507 / 1513
页数:7
相关论文
共 50 条
  • [21] A novel car-following inertia gray model and its application in forecasting short-term traffic flow
    Xiao, Xinping
    Duan, Huiming
    Wen, Jianghui
    [J]. APPLIED MATHEMATICAL MODELLING, 2020, 87 : 546 - 570
  • [22] Application of the Hybrid Forecasting Models to Road Traffic Accidents in Algeria
    Chellai, Fatih
    [J]. STATISTIKA-STATISTICS AND ECONOMY JOURNAL, 2022, 102 (02) : 184 - 197
  • [23] Highway traffic flow forecasting based on spatiotemporal relationship
    Tian, Junshan
    Zeng, Juncheng
    Ding, Feng
    Xu, Jin
    Jiang, Yan
    Zhou, Cheng
    Li, Yingda
    Wang, Xinyuan
    [J]. Gongcheng Kexue Xuebao/Chinese Journal of Engineering, 2024, 46 (09): : 1623 - 1629
  • [24] TRAFFIC FLOW FORECASTING BASED ON NO COMPLETE HIGHWAY DATABASE
    Manceski, Gjorgji
    Malenkovska Todorova, Marija
    [J]. TRANSPORT PROBLEMS, 2010, 5 (01) : 47 - 53
  • [25] Model of system dynamics for highway based on traffic-safety
    Liu, Qing
    [J]. Wuhan Ligong Daxue Xuebao (Jiaotong Kexue Yu Gongcheng Ban)/Journal of Wuhan University of Technology (Transportation Science and Engineering), 2002, 26 (03):
  • [26] Major production accidents interval forecasting based on gray panel
    Zhao Jiangping
    Ding Jiali
    Li Fei
    [J]. 2014 INTERNATIONAL SYMPOSIUM ON SAFETY SCIENCE AND TECHNOLOGY, 2015, 84 : 108 - 115
  • [27] A Study on Highway Traffic Volume Forecasting Based on the SARIMA-GCN-LSTM Model
    School of Statistics and Data Science, Jiangxi University of Finance and Economics, Nanchang, China
    不详
    [J]. IEEE Int. Conf. Sensors, Electron. Comput. Eng., ICSECE, 2024, (1788-1794): : 1788 - 1794
  • [28] Highway Traffic Safety Management System Based on the Theory of Dissipative Structures and Catastrophe Theory
    Pan Xiaodong
    Wang Xiang
    Yang Zhen
    Cong Haozhe
    [J]. 2009 INTERNATIONAL CONFERENCE ON INFORMATION MANAGEMENT, INNOVATION MANAGEMENT AND INDUSTRIAL ENGINEERING, VOL 3, PROCEEDINGS, 2009, : 42 - 45
  • [29] Highway Passenger Traffic Volume Prediction of Cubic Exponential Smoothing Model Based on Grey System Theory
    Liu, Wenwen
    Qin, Yong
    Dong, Honghui
    Yang, Yanfang
    Tian, Zhao
    [J]. PROCEEDINGS OF THE 2ND INTERNATIONAL CONFERENCE ON SOFT COMPUTING IN INFORMATION COMMUNICATION TECHNOLOGY, 2014, : 186 - 190
  • [30] The application of gray theory in forecasting settlement of composite foundation
    Qiao, Jing-Sheng
    Tao, Long-Guang
    Lu, Ming-Xing
    Wu, Xiao-Hong
    [J]. Advances in Structural Engineering:Theory and Applications Vols 1 and 2, 2006, : 2171 - 2176