Effect of environmental and socio-economic factors on the spreading of COVID-19 at 70 cities/provinces

被引:16
|
作者
Ahmed, Jishan [1 ,2 ]
Jaman, Md. Hasnat [3 ]
Saha, Goutam [4 ]
Ghosh, Pratyya [4 ]
机构
[1] Bowling Green State Univ, Dept Comp Sci, Bowling Green, OH 43403 USA
[2] Univ Barishal, Dept Math, Barishal, Bangladesh
[3] Univ Barishal, Dept Geol & Min, Barishal, Bangladesh
[4] Univ Dhaka, Dept Math, Dhaka, Bangladesh
关键词
Temperatures; Humidity; Air quality; Population density; GDP; Health expenditure; Life expectancy; Total test; COVID-19; SURVIVAL;
D O I
10.1016/j.heliyon.2021.e06979
中图分类号
O [数理科学和化学]; P [天文学、地球科学]; Q [生物科学]; N [自然科学总论];
学科分类号
07 ; 0710 ; 09 ;
摘要
The main goal of this article is to demonstrate the impact of environmental and socio-economic factors on the spreading of COVID-19. In this research, data has been collected from 70 cities/provinces of different countries around the world that are affected by COVID-19. In this research, environmental data such as temperatures, humidity, air quality and population density and socio-economic data such as GDP (PPP) per capita, per capita health expenditure, life expectancy and total test in each of these cities/provinces are considered. This data has been analyzed using statistical models such as Poisson and negative binomial models. It is found that a negative binomial regression model is the best fit for our data. Our results reveal higher population density to be an important factor for the quick spread of COVID-19 as maintenance of social distancing requirements are more difficult in urban areas. Moreover, GDP (PPP) and PM2.5 are linked with fewer cases of COVID-19 whereas PM10, and total number of tests are strongly associated with the increase of COVID-19 case counts.
引用
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页数:8
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