Short-term traffic flow prediction of road network based on deep learning

被引:33
|
作者
Han, Lei [1 ]
Huang, Yi-Shao [1 ]
机构
[1] Changsha Univ Sci & Technol, Sch Traff & Transportat Engn, Changsha, Peoples R China
关键词
telecommunication traffic; road traffic; data compression; traffic engineering computing; belief networks; forecasting theory; learning (artificial intelligence); novel short-term traffic flow prediction; deep learning; traffic flow forecasting methods; time traffic situation; data processing; road network data compression; trend term; random fluctuation term; spectral decomposition method; deep belief network model; kernel extreme learning machine classifier; prediction model; actual regional road network traffic flow data; short-time network traffic flow forecasting method; average prediction accuracy; road section; FORECASTING-MODEL; NEURAL-NETWORK;
D O I
10.1049/iet-its.2019.0133
中图分类号
TM [电工技术]; TN [电子技术、通信技术];
学科分类号
0808 ; 0809 ;
摘要
Due to the fact that existing traffic flow forecasting methods cannot completely reflect the real time traffic situation of the road network, a new method of short-term traffic flow prediction is proposed based on deep learning in this study. Firstly, in order to improve the efficiency of data processing, a method of road network data compression is proposed based on correlation analysis and CX decomposition. Secondly, the traffic flow data are divided into trend term and random fluctuation term by spectral decomposition method, and the influence of trend term on prediction accuracy is removed. Finally, by combining a deep belief network model and a kernel extreme learning machine classifier as the prediction model, the essential characteristics of the traffic flow data are extracted by using DBN at the bottom of the network, and the extracted results are input into the kernel extreme learning machine to predict the traffic flow. The actual regional road network traffic flow data are tested to verify the effectiveness of the proposed short-time network traffic flow forecasting method. The results show that the proposed method can not only save 90% of the running time but also the average prediction accuracy of each road section can reach 92%.
引用
收藏
页码:495 / 503
页数:9
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