Prospect Theory in the Heterogeneous Agent Model

被引:7
|
作者
Polach, Jan [1 ]
Kukacka, Jiri [2 ,3 ]
机构
[1] Moodys Analyt UK Ltd, One Canada Sq, London E14 5FA, England
[2] Charles Univ Prague, Fac Social Sci, Inst Econ Studies, Opletalova 26, Prague 11000 1, Czech Republic
[3] Czech Acad Sci, Inst Informat Theory & Automat, Vodarenskou Vezi 4, Prague 18200 8, Czech Republic
关键词
Heterogeneous Agent Model; Prospect Theory; Behavioral finance; Stylized facts; EXPECTATIONS; DISPOSITION; MARKETS;
D O I
10.1007/s11403-018-0219-6
中图分类号
F [经济];
学科分类号
02 ;
摘要
Using the Heterogeneous Agent Model framework, we incorporate an extension based on Prospect Theory into a popular agent-based asset pricing model. This extension covers the phenomenon of loss aversion manifested in risk aversion and asymmetric treatment of gains and losses. Using Monte Carlo methods, we investigate behavior and statistical properties of the extended model and assess how our extension is manifested in different strategies. We show that, on the one hand, the Prospect Theory extension keeps the essential underlying mechanics of the model intact, but on the other hand it considerably changes the model dynamics. Stability of the model is increased and fundamentalists may be able to survive in the market more easily. When only the fundamentalists are loss-averse, other strategies profit more.
引用
收藏
页码:147 / 174
页数:28
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