Systematic review: role of elevated plasma von-Willebrand factor as predictor of mortality in patients with chronic liver disease

In this systematic review, we aimed to assess role of plasma von-Willebrand factor (vWF), an endothelial activation marker, as prognostic marker in patients with chronc liver disease [cirrhosis and acute-on-chronic liver failure (ACLF)]. We searched published databases using predefined keywords to identify all studies up to June 2018, in which plasma vWF (antigen or activity assay) was used as prognostic marker predicting mortality in patients with chronic liver disease. Relevant extracted data from selected studies were narratively summarized. The individual study's area under ROC curve for plasma vWF as a predictor of mortality was pooled and meta-analyzed. Six studies (cirrhosis: 5; ACLF: 1) with an aggregate data of 765 patients (cirrhosis: 715 patients; ACLF: 50 patients) were included. Baseline plasma vWF-antigen was an independent predictor of medium-term mortality in patients with cirrhosis (summary area under the curve: 0.74; 95% confidence interval: 0.70-0.79) with an optimal cutoff of 318% (216-390%; median, range) over a period of 25.6 months (23.6-33 months). Plasma vWF also predicted short-term (over 7 days) mortality in patients with ACLF. Plasma vWF levels correlated with Child's score, model for end-stage liver disease (MELD) score and hepatic venous pressure gradient and performed as well as MELD score in predicting mortality in patients with cirrhosis and ACLF. Baseline plasma vWF level predicts mortality over a medium term (1-3 years) in cirrhosis and over a short term (1 week) in ACLF patients. The marked elevation of baseline plasma vWF levels in ACLF patients was associated with drastic truncation of survival when compared with cirrhosis patients.