Impact of individual behavioral changes on epidemic spreading in time-varying networks

被引:16
|
作者
Wang, Bing [1 ]
Xie, Zeyang [1 ]
Han, Yuexing [1 ,2 ]
机构
[1] Shanghai Univ, Sch Comp Engn & Sci, Shanghai 200444, Peoples R China
[2] Shanghai Univ, Shanghai Inst Adv Commun & Data Sci, Shanghai 200444, Peoples R China
基金
中国国家自然科学基金;
关键词
MODEL; DYNAMICS;
D O I
10.1103/PhysRevE.104.044307
中图分类号
O35 [流体力学]; O53 [等离子体物理学];
学科分类号
070204 ; 080103 ; 080704 ;
摘要
Changes in individual behavior often entangle with the dynamic interaction of individuals, which complicates the epidemic process and brings great challenges for the understanding and control of the epidemic. In this work, we consider three kinds of typical behavioral changes in epidemic process, that is, self-quarantine of infected individuals, self-protection of susceptible individuals, and social distancing between them. We connect the behavioral changes with individual's social attributes by the activity-driven network with attractiveness. A mean-field theory is established to derive an analytical estimate of epidemic threshold for susceptible-infectedsusceptible models with individual behavioral changes, which depends on the correlations between activity, attractiveness, and the number of generative links in the susceptible and infected states. We find that individual behaviors play different roles in suppressing the epidemic. Although all the behavioral changes could delay the epidemic by increasing the epidemic threshold, self-quarantine and social distancing of infected individuals could effectively decrease the epidemic outbreak size. In addition, simultaneous changes in these behaviors and the timing of implement of them also play a key role in suppressing the epidemic. These results provide helpful significance for understanding the interaction of individual behaviors in the epidemic process.
引用
收藏
页数:9
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