Asymmetric volatility connectedness on the forex market

被引:168
|
作者
Barunik, Jozef [1 ,2 ]
Kocenda, Evzen [1 ]
Vacha, Lukas [1 ,2 ]
机构
[1] Charles Univ Prague, Inst Econ Studies, Opletalova 26, Prague 11000, Czech Republic
[2] Czech Acad Sci, Inst Informat Theory & Automat, Pod Vodarenskou Vezi 4, Prague 18200, Czech Republic
关键词
volatility; connectedness; spillovers; semivariance; asymmetric effects; forex market; IMPULSE-RESPONSE ANALYSIS; EXCHANGE-RATE; MONETARY-POLICY; MULTIVARIATE MODELS; TRADING REGIONS; SPILL-OVER; STOCK; TRANSMISSION; RETURNS; LINKAGES;
D O I
10.1016/j.jimonfin.2017.06.003
中图分类号
F8 [财政、金融];
学科分类号
0202 ;
摘要
We show how bad and good volatility propagate through the forex market, i.e., we provide evidence for asymmetric volatility connectedness on the forex market. Using high-frequency, intra-day data of the most actively traded currencies over 2007-2015 we document the dominating asymmetries in spillovers that are due to bad, rather than good, volatility. We also show that negative spillovers are chiefly tied to the dragging sovereign debt crisis in Europe while positive spillovers are correlated with the subprime crisis, different monetary policies among key world central banks, and developments on commodities markets. It seems that a combination of monetary and real-economy events is behind the positive asymmetries in volatility spillovers, while fiscal factors are linked with negative spillovers. (C) 2017 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.
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页码:39 / 56
页数:18
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