Multiscale financial risk contagion between international stock markets: Evidence from EMD-Copula-CoVaR analysis

被引:44
|
作者
Luo, Changqing [1 ]
Liu, Lan [1 ]
Wang, Da [2 ]
机构
[1] Hunan Univ Technol & Business, Finance Sch, 569 Yuelu Ave, Changsha, Hunan, Peoples R China
[2] Peoples Bank China, Changsha Cent Sub Branch, 2 Caie Middle Rd, Changsha, Hunan, Peoples R China
基金
中国国家自然科学基金;
关键词
Multiscale financial risk; Conditional Value-at-Risk; Risk contagion; Empirical mode decomposition; Dynamic Copula models; SYSTEMIC RISK; OIL; VOLATILITY; INTERDEPENDENCE; DEPENDENCE; CRISIS; ENERGY; UNCERTAINTIES; SPILLOVER; PORTFOLIO;
D O I
10.1016/j.najef.2021.101512
中图分类号
F8 [财政、金融];
学科分类号
0202 ;
摘要
Considering the frequency domain and nonlinear characteristics of financial risks, we measure the multiscale financial risk contagion by constructing EMD-Copula-CoVaR models. Using a sample composed of nine international stock markets from January 4, 1999, to May 13, 2021, the empirical study reveals that: (1) EMD-Copula-CoVaR models can effectively measure the multiscale financial risk contagion, and the financial risk contagion is significant at all time scales; (2) The high-frequency component is the major contributor of financial risk contagion; meanwhile, the low-frequency component is the smallest among all time scale components; (3) The risk export of the US financial market to other markets, except the UK under the original and mediumfrequency component, is higher than that it receives; and (4) Even though the magnitude of overall financial risk contagion is similar for the COVID-19 pandemic, Subprime Crises, 9/11 terrorist attack and other crises, the relative importance of different frequency components is heterogeneous. Therefore, the countermeasures of risk contagion should be designed according to its multiscale characteristics.
引用
收藏
页数:24
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