Identifying government spending shocks and multipliers in Korea

被引:4
|
作者
Lee, Eun Kyung [1 ]
Park, Kwangyong [2 ]
机构
[1] Bank Korea, Financial Stabil Dept, Seoul, South Korea
[2] Bank Korea, Econ Res Inst, 55 Namdaemun Ro, Seoul, South Korea
关键词
Fiscal policy; Multiplier; FISCAL-POLICY; PURCHASES;
D O I
10.1016/j.asieco.2021.101366
中图分类号
F [经济];
学科分类号
02 ;
摘要
We construct a government spending news series in Korea based on Fisher and Peters (2010) by exploiting a market-weighted sum of excess stock returns of military contractors in Korea. We then use this military spending news series and estimate a structural VAR model to evaluate the effects of government spending. As a result, GDP and government spending show statistically significant responses to military spending news shocks. The accumulated government spending multiplier peaks after four quarters, and the five-year cumulative multiplier is calculated as 1.27. For a robustness check, different types of VAR models are tested and results are qualitatively similar.
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页数:14
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