This paper investigates whether market quality, uncertainty, investor sentiment and attention, and macroeconomic news affect bitcoin price discovery in spot and futures markets. Over the period December 2017-March 2019, we find significant time variation in the contribution to price discovery of the two markets. Increases in price discovery are mainly driven by relative trading costs and volume, and uncertainty to a lesser extent. Additionally, medium-sized trades contain most information in terms of price discovery. Finally, higher news-based bitcoin sentiment increases the informational role of the futures market, while attention and macroeconomic news have no impact on price discovery.
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Univ N Carolina, Dept Econ, Chapel Hill, NC 27599 USA
Univ N Carolina, Kenan Flagler Business Sch, Chapel Hill, NC 27599 USAUniv N Carolina, Dept Econ, Chapel Hill, NC 27599 USA
Ghysels, Eric
Giang Nguyen
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Penn State Univ, Smeal Coll Business, University Pk, PA 16802 USAUniv N Carolina, Dept Econ, Chapel Hill, NC 27599 USA
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Univ Portland, Dept Econ, Portland, OR 97203 USAUniv Louisville, Coll Business, Dept Finance, Louisville, KY 40292 USA
Adrangi, Bahram
Chatrath, Arjun
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Univ Portland, Dept Finance, Portland, OR 97203 USAUniv Louisville, Coll Business, Dept Finance, Louisville, KY 40292 USA
Chatrath, Arjun
Christie-David, Rohan A.
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Univ Louisville, Coll Business, Dept Finance, Louisville, KY 40292 USAUniv Louisville, Coll Business, Dept Finance, Louisville, KY 40292 USA
Christie-David, Rohan A.
Lee, Kiseop
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Univ Louisville, Dept Math, Louisville, KY 40292 USA
Ajou Univ, Seoul, South KoreaUniv Louisville, Coll Business, Dept Finance, Louisville, KY 40292 USA