Projecting long-term care expenditure in four European Union member states: The influence of demographic scenarios

被引：34

作者：

Costa-Font, Joan ^{[1
,2
]}

Wittenberg, Raphael ^{[3
]}

Patxot, Concepcio ^{[2
]}

Comas-Herrera, Adelina ^{[3
]}

Gori, Cristiano ^{[4
]}

di Maio, Alessandra ^{[4
]}

Pickard, Linda ^{[3
]}

Pozzi, Alessandro ^{[4
]}

Rothgang, Heinz ^{[5
]}

机构：

[1] London Sch Econ, LSE Hlth & Social Care, London WC2A 2AE, England

[2] Univ Barcelona, Res Ctr Econ Social Policy CAEPS, Barcelona, Catalonia, Spain

[3] London Sch Econ, LSE Hlth & Social Care, PSSRU, London WC2A 2AE, England

[4] Ist Ric Sociale, Bologna, Italy

[5] Univ Bremen, Ctr Social Policy Res, Bremen, Germany

来源：

SOCIAL INDICATORS RESEARCH | 2008年 / 86卷 / 02期

关键词：

population projections; long-term care; life expectancy and mortality;

D O I：

10.1007/s11205-007-9140-4

中图分类号：

C [社会科学总论];

学科分类号：

03 ; 0303 ;

摘要：

This study examines the sensitivity of future long-term care demand and expenditure estimates to official demographic projections in four selected European countries: Germany, Spain, Italy and the United Kingdom. It uses standardised methodology in the form of a macro-simulation exercise and finds evidence for significant differences in assumptions about demographic change and its effect on the demand for long-term care, and on relative and absolute long-term care expenditure. It concludes that mortality-rate assumptions can have a considerable influence on welfare policy planning. Relative dispersion between country-specific and Eurostat official estimates was found to be higher for the United Kingdom and Germany than for Italy and Spain, suggesting that demographic projections had a greater influence in those countries.

引用

页码：303 / 321

页数：19

共 50 条

[41] Long-term Sustainability of Pension Systems of European Union Countries
Lakotova, Lenka
[J]. POLITICKA EKONOMIE, 2021, 69 (01) : 48 - 72
[42] Long-term Demographic Factor of Political Unrest in Contemporary States
Polovyi, Mykola
[J]. POLITICAL AND ECONOMIC UNREST IN THE CONTEMPORARY ERA, 2019, : 196 - 203
[43] The influence of perception on the preferences of the new member states of the European Union: The case of energy policy
Misik, Matus
[J]. COMPARATIVE EUROPEAN POLITICS, 2015, 13 (02) : 198 - 221
[44] The influence of perception on the preferences of the new member states of the European Union: The case of energy policy
Matúš Mišík
[J]. Comparative European Politics, 2015, 13 : 198 - 221
[45] Discrepancies in cancer incidence and mortality and its relation to health expenditure among the 27 European Union member states
Ades, F.
Senterre, C.
De Azambuja, E.
Sullivan, R.
Popescu, R.
Parent, F.
Piccart, M.
[J]. EUROPEAN JOURNAL OF CANCER, 2013, 49 : S298 - S298
[46] Predictors of family member visits to long-term care homes
Hunter, Paulette
Wickson-Griffiths, Abigail
Myge, Ivy
Hadjistavropoulos, Thomas
[J]. INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF PSYCHOLOGY, 2023, 58 : 574 - 574
[47] Insuring Long-Term Care in the United States
Brown, Jeffrey R.
Finkelstein, Amy
[J]. JOURNAL OF ECONOMIC PERSPECTIVES, 2011, 25 (04): : 119 - 141
[48] Long-term care in the United States: An overview
Feder, J
Komisar, HL
Niefeld, M
[J]. HEALTH AFFAIRS, 2000, 19 (03) : 40 - 56
[49] A BLOCK GRANT TO THE STATES FOR LONG-TERM CARE
HUDSON, RB
[J]. JOURNAL OF HEALTH POLITICS POLICY AND LAW, 1981, 6 (01) : 9 - 28
[50] Distribution of Long-Term Care Staffing Hours, by Staff Member Type and Sector - United States, 2014
Rome, Vincent
Lendon, Jessica Penn
[J]. MMWR-MORBIDITY AND MORTALITY WEEKLY REPORT, 2016, 65 (16): : 428 - 428

← 1 2 3 4 5 →