Rift Valley Fever: risk of persistence, spread and impact in Mayotte (France)

被引:16
|
作者
Nielsen, Soren Saxmose
Alvarez, Julio
Bicout, Dominique Joseph
Calistri, Paolo
Depner, Klaus
Drewe, Julian Ashley
Garin-Bastuji, Bruno
Rojas, Jose Luis Gonzales
Schmidt, Christian Gortezar
Michel, Virginie
Chueca, Miguel Angel Miranda
Roberts, Helen Clare
Sihvonen, Liisa Helena
Stahl, Karl
Velarde, Antonio
Trop, Arvo
Winckler, Christoph
Cetre-Sossah, Catherine
Chevalier, Veronique
de Vos, Clazien
Gubbins, Simon
Antoniou, Sotiria-Eleni
Broglia, Alessandro
Dhollander, Sofie
Van der Stede, Yves
机构
关键词
Rift Valley Fever; vector-borne; spread; impact; ruminants; Mayotte; CULEX-PIPIENS; VERTICAL TRANSMISSION; AEDES-ALBOPICTUS; INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT; CHIKUNGUNYA VIRUS; VECTOR COMPETENCE; DENGUE VIRUSES; REUNION ISLAND; MOSQUITOS; DIPTERA;
D O I
10.2903/j.efsa.2020.6093
中图分类号
TS2 [食品工业];
学科分类号
0832 ;
摘要
Rift Valley fever (RVF) is a vector-borne disease transmitted by different mosquito species, especially Aedes and Culex genus, to animals and humans. In November 2018, RVF re-emerged in Mayotte (France) after 11 years. Up to the end of October 2019, 126 outbreaks in animals and 143 human cases were reported. RVF mortality was 0.01%, and the number of abortions reported in polymerase chain reaction (PCR)-positive ruminants was fivefold greater than the previous 7 years. Milk loss production in 2019 compared to 2015-2018 was estimated to be 18%, corresponding to an economic loss of around Euro191,000 in all of Mayotte. The tropical climate in Mayotte provides conditions for the presence of mosquitoes during the whole year, and illegal introductions of animals represent a continuous risk of (re)introduction of RVF. The probability of RVF virus (RVFV) persisting in Mayotte for 5 or more years was estimated to be < 10% but could be much lower if vertical transmission in vectors does not occur. Persistence of RVF by vertical transmission in Mayotte and Reunion appears to be of minor relevance compared to other pathways of re-introduction (i.e. animal movement). However, there is a high uncertainty since there is limited information about the vertical transmission of some of the major species of vectors of RVFV in Mayotte and Reunion. The only identified pathways for the risk of spread of RVF from Mayotte to other countries were by infected vectors transported in airplanes or by wind currents. For the former, the risk of introduction of RVF to continental France was estimated to 4 x 10(-6) epidemic per year (median value; 95% CI: 2 x 10(-8); 0.0007), and 0.001 epidemic per year to Reunion (95% CI: 4 x 10(-6); 0.16). For the latter pathway, mosquitoes dispersing on the wind from Mayotte between January and April 2019 could have reached the Comoros Islands, Madagascar, Mozambique and, possibly, Tanzania. However, these countries are already endemic for RVF, and an incursion of RVFV-infected mosquitoes would have negligible impact. (c) 2020 European Food Safety Authority. EFSA Journal published by John Wiley and Sons Ltd on behalf of European Food Safety Authority.
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页码:1 / 61
页数:61
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