A COVID-19 EPIDEMIC MODEL PREDICTING THE EFFECTIVENESS OF VACCINATION

被引:7
|
作者
Webb, Glenn [1 ]
机构
[1] Vanderbilt Univ, Math Dept, Nashville, TN 37235 USA
来源
关键词
epidemic; cases; transmission; asymptomatic; symptomatic; vaccination;
D O I
10.5206/mase/13889
中图分类号
O29 [应用数学];
学科分类号
070104 ;
摘要
A model of a COVID-19 epidemic is developed to predict the effectiveness of vaccination. The model incorporates key features of COVID-19 epidemics: asymptomatic and symptomatic infectiousness, reported and unreported cases, and social measures that decrease infection transmission. The model incorporates key features of vaccination: vaccination efficiency, vaccination scheduling, and relaxation of social measures that increase infection transmission as vaccination is implemented. The model is applied to predict vaccination effectiveness in the United Kingdom.
引用
收藏
页码:134 / 148
页数:15
相关论文
共 50 条
  • [31] Evaluation of Effectiveness of Global COVID-19 Vaccination Campaign
    He, Daihai
    Ali, Sheikh Taslim
    Fan, Guihong
    Gao, Daozhou
    Song, Haitao
    Lou, Yijun
    Zhao, Shi
    Cowling, Benjamin J.
    Stone, Lewi
    EMERGING INFECTIOUS DISEASES, 2022, 28 (09) : 1873 - 1876
  • [32] The Effectiveness of Bivalent COVID-19 Vaccination: A Preliminary Report
    Chen, Ssu-Yu
    Lin, Chien-Yu
    Chi, Hsin
    Weng, Shun-Long
    Li, Sung-Tse
    Tai, Yu-Lin
    Huang, Ya-Ning
    Huang, Hsiang
    Lin, Chao-Hsu
    Chiu, Nan-Chang
    LIFE-BASEL, 2023, 13 (10):
  • [33] Audio Interview: Effectiveness of Covid-19 Vaccination in Children
    Rubin, Eric J.
    Baden, Lindsey R.
    Morrissey, Stephen
    NEW ENGLAND JOURNAL OF MEDICINE, 2022, 386 (13): : E39 - E39
  • [34] Analysis of a COVID-19 Epidemic Model with Seasonality
    Zhimin Li
    Tailei Zhang
    Bulletin of Mathematical Biology, 2022, 84
  • [35] A stochastic epidemic model of COVID-19 disease
    Bardina, Xavier
    Ferrante, Marco
    Rovira, Carles
    AIMS MATHEMATICS, 2020, 5 (06): : 7661 - 7677
  • [36] A COVID-19 epidemic model with latency period
    Liu, Z.
    Magal, P.
    Seydi, O.
    Webb, G.
    INFECTIOUS DISEASE MODELLING, 2020, 5 : 323 - 337
  • [37] SEAIR Epidemic spreading model of COVID-19
    Basnarkov, Lasko
    CHAOS SOLITONS & FRACTALS, 2021, 142
  • [38] Analysis of a COVID-19 Epidemic Model with Seasonality
    Li, Zhimin
    Zhang, Tailei
    BULLETIN OF MATHEMATICAL BIOLOGY, 2022, 84 (12)
  • [39] An epidemic-economic model for COVID-19
    Bai, Jie
    Wang, Xiunan
    Wang, Jin
    MATHEMATICAL BIOSCIENCES AND ENGINEERING, 2022, 19 (09) : 9658 - 9696
  • [40] Simplified model of Covid-19 epidemic prognosis under quarantine and estimation of quarantine effectiveness
    Dziugys, Algis
    Bieliunas, Martynas
    Skarbalius, Gediminas
    Misiulis, Edgaras
    Navakas, Robertas
    CHAOS SOLITONS & FRACTALS, 2020, 140 (140)