The Economic Effects of Long-Term Climate Change: Evidence from the Little Ice Age

被引：8
|
作者：
Waldinger, Maria [1 ]
机构：
[1] ifo Inst, Munich, Germany
来源：
JOURNAL OF POLITICAL ECONOMY | 2022年
关键词：
AGRICULTURAL OUTPUT; RANDOM FLUCTUATIONS; SPATIALLY EXPLICIT; UNITED-STATES; LAND-USE; TEMPERATURE; ADAPTATION; MIGRATION; WEATHER; EUROPE;
D O I：
10.1086/720393
中图分类号：
F [经济];
学科分类号：
02 ;
摘要：
Recent studies consistently find important economic effects of year-to-year weather fluctuations. I study the economic effects of long-term and gradual climate change over 250 years in the Little Ice Age (1600-1850), during which people and economies had time to adapt. Results show significant negative economic effects of long-term climate change. Temperature impacted the economy through its effect on agricultural productivity and mortality. To adapt to the Little Ice Age, economies increased trade and changed land use. I discuss the relevance of these results for understanding the impact of today's climate change, especially in developing countries.
引用
收藏
页码：2275 / 2314
页数：40
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