Monetary Policy Response to Oil Price Shocks

被引:60
|
作者
Natal, Jean-Marc [1 ]
机构
[1] Int Monetary Fund, Res Dept, Washington, DC 20431 USA
关键词
E32; E52; E58; optimal monetary policy; oil shocks; divine coincidence; simple rules; WAGE; RIGIDITY; WELFARE; RULES; PUTTY;
D O I
10.1111/j.1538-4616.2011.00469.x
中图分类号
F8 [财政、金融];
学科分类号
0202 ;
摘要
How should monetary authorities react to an oil price shock? This paper shows that in a noncompetitive economy, policies that perfectly stabilize prices entail large welfare costs, hence explaining the reluctance of policymakers to enforce them. The policy trade-off is nontrivial because oil (energy) is an input to both production and consumption. As welfare-maximizing policies are hard to implement and communicate, I derive a simple interest rate rule that depends only on observables but mimics the optimal plan in all dimensions. The optimal rule is hard on core inflation but accommodates oil price changes.
引用
收藏
页码:53 / 101
页数:49
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