A test for a parametric form of the volatility in second-order diffusion models
被引:3
|
作者:
Yan, Tianshun
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机构:
Xi An Jiao Tong Univ, Sch Math & Stat, Dept Stat, Xian, Shaanxi, Peoples R ChinaXi An Jiao Tong Univ, Sch Math & Stat, Dept Stat, Xian, Shaanxi, Peoples R China
Yan, Tianshun
[1
]
Mei, Changlin
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h-index: 0
机构:
Xi An Jiao Tong Univ, Sch Math & Stat, Dept Stat, Xian, Shaanxi, Peoples R ChinaXi An Jiao Tong Univ, Sch Math & Stat, Dept Stat, Xian, Shaanxi, Peoples R China
Mei, Changlin
[1
]
机构:
[1] Xi An Jiao Tong Univ, Sch Math & Stat, Dept Stat, Xian, Shaanxi, Peoples R China
Second-order diffusion models;
Generalized likelihood ratio test;
Local-linear fitting;
Bootstrap;
OF-FIT TESTS;
STOCHASTIC DIFFERENTIAL-EQUATIONS;
COEFFICIENT REGRESSION-MODELS;
TERM STRUCTURE;
TIME-SERIES;
SPECIFICATION;
D O I:
10.1007/s00180-016-0685-z
中图分类号:
O21 [概率论与数理统计];
C8 [统计学];
学科分类号:
020208 ;
070103 ;
0714 ;
摘要:
Second-order diffusion models have been found to be promising in analyzing financial market data. Based on nonparametric fitting, Nicolau (Stat Probabil Lett 78(16):2700-2704, 2008) suggested that the quadratic function may be an appropriate specification of the volatility when a second-order diffusion model is used to analyze some European and American financial market data sets, which motivates us to develop a formal statistical test for this finding. To achieve the task, a generalized likelihood ratio test is proposed in this paper and a residual-based bootstrap is suggested to compute the p value of the test. The analysis of many real-world financial market data sets demonstrates that the quadratic specification of the volatility function is in general reasonable.