Innovative Approach for Online Prediction of Blood Glucose Profile in Type 1 Diabetes Patients

Recursive identification techniques are used to estimate predictions for the human glucose-insulin subsystem. By replacing a constant gain with a physiologically inspired adaptation rule and adding as additional inputs the two variables ingested meal and administered insulin-which have the highest impact on the glucose concentration-the overall performance of a 45 min glucose prediction could be increased compared to standard identification and prediction methods. The results were analyzed from a system theoretical, and also from a clinical point of view using the CG-EGA.