Spatiotemporal distribution of COVID-19 during the first 7 months of the epidemic in Vietnam

被引:4
|
作者
Manabe, Toshie [1 ,2 ]
Phan, Dung [3 ]
Nohara, Yasuhiro [4 ]
Kambayashi, Dan [1 ,5 ]
Thang Huu Nguyen [6 ]
Thanh Van Do [7 ]
Kudo, Koichiro [8 ,9 ]
机构
[1] Nagoya City Univ, Grad Sch Med, Mizuho Ku, 1 Kawasumi,Mizuho Cho, Nagoya, Aichi 4678601, Japan
[2] Nagoya City Univ, West Med Ctr, Nagoya, Aichi, Japan
[3] Monash Univ, Fac Pharm & Pharmaceut Sci, Melbourne, Vic, Australia
[4] Utsunomiya Univ Ctr Reg Design, Utsunomiya, Tochigi, Japan
[5] Showa Pharmaceut Univ, Ctr Educ & Res Clin Pharm, Tokyo, Japan
[6] Hanoi Med Univ, Sch Prevent Med & Publ Hlth, Hanoi, Vietnam
[7] Bach Mai Hosp, Ctr Trop Dis, Hanoi, Vietnam
[8] Yurin Hosp, Tokyo, Japan
[9] Waseda Univ, Tokyo, Japan
基金
日本学术振兴会;
关键词
COVID-19; Emerging infectious disease; Spatiotemporal analysis; Disease clustering; Nosocomial infection;
D O I
10.1186/s12879-021-06822-0
中图分类号
R51 [传染病];
学科分类号
100401 ;
摘要
Background Understanding the spatiotemporal distribution of emerging infectious diseases is crucial for implementation of control measures. In the first 7 months from the occurrence of COVID-19 pandemic, Vietnam has documented comparatively few cases of COVID-19. Understanding the spatiotemporal distribution of these cases may contribute to development of global countermeasures. Methods We assessed the spatiotemporal distribution of COVID-19 from 23 January to 31 July 2020 in Vietnam. Data were collected from reports of the World Health Organization, the Vietnam Ministry of Health, and related websites. Temporal distribution was assessed via the transmission classification (local or quarantined cases). Geographical distribution was assessed via the number of cases in each province along with their timelines. The most likely disease clusters with elevated incidence were assessed via calculation of the relative risk (RR). Results Among 544 observed cases of COVID-19, the median age was 35 years, 54.8% were men, and 50.9% were diagnosed during quarantine. During the observation period, there were four phases: Phase 1, COVID-19 cases occurred sporadically in January and February 2020; Phase 2, an epidemic wave occurred from the 1st week of March to the middle of April (Wave 1); Phase 3, only quarantining cases were involved; and Phase 4, a second epidemic wave began on July 25th, 2020 (Wave 2). A spatial cluster in Phase 1 was detected in Vinh Phuc Province (RR, 38.052). In Phase 2, primary spatial clusters were identified in the areas of Hanoi and Ha Nam Province (RR, 6.357). In Phase 4, a spatial cluster was detected in Da Nang, a popular coastal tourist destination (RR, 70.401). Conclusions Spatial disease clustering of COVID-19 in Vietnam was associated with large cities, tourist destinations, people's mobility, and the occurrence of nosocomial infections. Past experiences with outbreaks of emerging infectious diseases led to quick implementation of governmental countermeasures against COVID-19 and a general acceptance of these measures by the population. The behaviors of the population and the government, as well as the country's age distribution, may have contributed to the low incidence and small number of severe COVID-19 cases.
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页数:8
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