Effects of urban planning in guiding urban growth: Evidence from Shenzhen, China

Improved understanding the effects of urban planning in guiding urban growth is conducive to the establishment of orderly spatial control systems. Few findings emphasized and systematic interpreted on the effects directly caused by urban planning. Thus, the effects of urban planning and its detailed urban functional planning, as well as different planning combinations were studied in this paper, using Shenzhen as an example. The results show that: 1) During the study period of 2000-2010, urban planning has had a conspicuous controlling effect on urban growth of the Special Economic Zone (SEZ). However, disordered growth has occurred outside the SEZ. 2) Urban planning plays a not particularly significant role in guiding urban renewal and development. The influence of residential planning on residential renewal is not significant. Commercial renewal is positively correlated with traffic accessibility and the distance from subway stations. Industrial renewal only has a significant positive correlation with industrial planning. 3) The planning combinations have played a significant positive guiding role in land development. The renewal probability of residential land equipped with rail planning is increased 19.22 times compared by itself.