Anthropogenic warming of Earth's climate system

被引:369
|
作者
Levitus, S
Antonov, JI
Wang, JL
Delworth, TL
Dixon, KW
Broccoli, AJ
机构
[1] NOAA, NODC, Air Resources Lab, EOC5, Silver Spring, MD 20910 USA
[2] NOAA, Geophys Fluid Dynam Lab, Princeton, NJ 08542 USA
关键词
D O I
10.1126/science.1058154
中图分类号
O [数理科学和化学]; P [天文学、地球科学]; Q [生物科学]; N [自然科学总论];
学科分类号
07 ; 0710 ; 09 ;
摘要
We compared the temporal variability of the heat content of the world ocean, of the global atmosphere, and of components of Earth's cryosphere during the Latter half of the 20th century. Each component has increased its heat content (the atmosphere and the ocean) or exhibited melting (the cryosphere). The estimated increase of observed global ocean heat content lover the depth range from 0 to 3000 meters) between the 1950s and 1990s is at least one order of magnitude Larger than the increase in heat content of any other component. Simulation results using an atmosphere-ocean general circulation model that includes estimates of the radiative effects of observed temporal variations in greenhouse gases, sulfate aerosols, solar irradiance, and volcanic aerosols over the past century agree with our observation-based estimate of the increase in ocean heal content. The results we present suggest that the observed increase in ocean heat content may largely be due to the increase of anthropogenic gases in Earth's atmosphere.
引用
收藏
页码:267 / 270
页数:4
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