Integrated news mining technique and AI-based mechanism for corporate performance forecasting

被引:25
|
作者
Chang, Te-Min [1 ]
Hsu, Ming-Fu [2 ]
Lin, Sin-Jin [3 ]
机构
[1] Natl Sun Yat Sen Univ, Dept Informat Management, 70 Lienhai Rd, Kaohsiung 80424, Taiwan
[2] Chinese Culture Univ, English Program Global Business, 55 Hwa Kang Rd, Taipei 11114, Taiwan
[3] Chinese Culture Univ, Dept Accounting, 55 Hwa Kang Rd, Taipei 11114, Taiwan
关键词
Decision making; Performance measure; Social network; Risk management; News mining; STRUCTURAL EMBEDDEDNESS; SOCIAL NETWORKS; MODEL; DECISION; CENTRALITY; IMPACT; SET;
D O I
10.1016/j.ins.2017.10.004
中图分类号
TP [自动化技术、计算机技术];
学科分类号
0812 ;
摘要
The deterioration in a corporation's profitability not only threatens its interests and sustainable development but also causes tremendous losses to other investors. Hence, constructing an effective pre-warning model for performance forecasting is an urgent requirement. Most previous studies only analyzed monetary-based ratios, but merely considering such ratios does not depict the full perspective of a corporation's business conditions. This study thus extends monetary-based ratios to non-monetary-based ratios and aggregates them through the analytic network process (ANP) with a risk-adjusted strategy to establish performance ranks of corporations. Analyzing a corporation's business relationships can help it to react to changes in the market and improve profit margins, as it draws upon such relationship networks for the transfer of scarce resources and knowledge. We believe that no current study adopts such a method to construct a forecasting model. To fill this gap in the literature, this study implements the social network (SN) technique to examine a corporation's competitive edge from seemingly noisy big media data, which are subsequently fed into an artificial intelligence (AI)-based technique to construct the model. The introduced model, examined through real-life cases under numerous conditions, offers a promising alternative for performance forecasting. (C) 2017 Elsevier Inc. All rights reserved.
引用
收藏
页码:273 / 286
页数:14
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