A Dynamic Risk Appraisal Model and Its Application in VTS Based on a Cellular Automata Simulation Prediction

被引：6
|
作者：
Suo, Yongfeng [1 ]
Sun, Zhihong [2 ]
Claramunt, Christophe [3 ]
Yang, Shenhua [1 ]
Zhang, Zhibing [1 ]
机构：
[1] Jimei Univ, Nav Coll, Xiamen 361021, Peoples R China
[2] China Coast Guard Acad, Dept Nav, Ningbo 315801, Peoples R China
[3] Naval Acad Res Inst, BP 600, F-29240 Brest, France
来源：
SENSORS | 2021年 / 21卷 / 14期
基金：
中国国家自然科学基金;
关键词：
cellular automata; risk appraisal; traffic simulation; traffic prediction; VTS; MANAGEMENT; DEMANDS;
D O I：
10.3390/s21144741
中图分类号：
O65 [分析化学];
学科分类号：
070302 ; 081704 ;
摘要：
The successful implementation of Vessel Traffic Services (VTS) relies heavily on human decisions. With the increasing development of maritime traffic, there is an urgent need to provide a sound support for dynamic risk appraisals and decision support. This research introduces a cellular automata (CA) simulation-based modelling approach the objective of which is to analyze and evaluate real-time maritime traffic risks in port environments. The first component is the design of a CA model to monitor ships' behavior and maritime fairway traffic. The second component is the refinement of the modelling approach by combining a cloud model with expert knowledge. The third component establishes a risk assessment model based on a fuzzy comprehensive evaluation. A typical scenario was experimentally implemented to validate the model's efficiency and operationality.
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收藏
页数：18
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