Do heterogeneous beliefs diversify market risk?

被引:7
|
作者
Chiarella, Carl [1 ]
Dieci, Roberto [2 ]
He, Xue-Zhong [1 ]
机构
[1] Univ Technol Sydney, Sch Finance & Econ, Sydney, NSW 2007, Australia
[2] Univ Bologna, Dept Math Econ & Social Sci, I-40126 Bologna, Italy
来源
EUROPEAN JOURNAL OF FINANCE | 2011年 / 17卷 / 03期
基金
澳大利亚研究理事会;
关键词
heterogeneous beliefs; CAPM; mean-variance analysis; diversification; Miller's hypothesis; CAPITAL-ASSET PRICES; CROSS-SECTION; DIVERGENCE; OPINION; EQUILIBRIUM; PREFERENCES; VOLATILITY;
D O I
10.1080/1351847X.2010.481457
中图分类号
F8 [财政、金融];
学科分类号
0202 ;
摘要
It is believed that diversity is good for our society, but is it good for financial markets? In particular, does the diversity with respect to beliefs among investors reduce the market risk of risky assets? The current paper aims to answer this question. Within the standard mean-variance framework, we introduce heterogeneous beliefs not only in risk preferences and expected payoffs but also in variances/covariances. By aggregating heterogeneous beliefs into a market consensus belief, we obtain capital asset pricing model-like equilibrium price and return relationships under heterogeneous beliefs. We show that the market aggregate behaviour is in principle a weighted average of heterogeneous individual behaviours. The impact of heterogeneity on the market equilibrium price and risk premium is examined in general. In particular, we give a positive answer to the question in the title by considering some special structure in heterogeneous beliefs. In addition, we provide an explanation of Miller's long-standing hypothesis on the relation between a stock's risk and the divergence of opinions.
引用
收藏
页码:241 / 258
页数:18
相关论文
共 50 条
  • [41] Do Heterogeneous Beliefs Matter to Post-announcement Informed Trading?
    Chen, Tao
    Karathanasopoulos, Andreas
    [J]. ABACUS-A JOURNAL OF ACCOUNTING FINANCE AND BUSINESS STUDIES, 2022, 58 (04): : 714 - 741
  • [42] Do Alternative Risk Premia Diversify? New Evidence for the Post-Pandemic Era
    Suhonen, Antti
    Vatanen, Kari
    [J]. JOURNAL OF PORTFOLIO MANAGEMENT, 2024, 50 (05):
  • [43] Modelling conditional skewness: Heterogeneous beliefs, short sale restrictions and market declines
    Shum, Wai Yan
    [J]. NORTH AMERICAN JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS AND FINANCE, 2020, 51
  • [44] A model of financial market dynamics with heterogeneous beliefs and state-dependent confidence
    Chiarella, Carl
    Dieci, Roberto
    Gardini, Laura
    Sbragia, Lucia
    [J]. COMPUTATIONAL ECONOMICS, 2008, 32 (1-2) : 55 - 72
  • [46] Heterogeneous beliefs and aggregate market volatility revisited: New evidence from China
    Wang, Yudong
    Diao, Xundi
    Pan, Zhiyuan
    Wu, Chongfeng
    [J]. PACIFIC-BASIN FINANCE JOURNAL, 2019, 55 : 127 - 141
  • [47] Short-sales and heterogeneous beliefs: Evidence from China stock market
    Xiong X.
    Gao Y.
    Feng X.
    [J]. Xitong Gongcheng Lilun yu Shijian/System Engineering Theory and Practice, 2017, 37 (08): : 1937 - 1948
  • [48] A Model of Financial Market Dynamics with Heterogeneous Beliefs and State-Dependent Confidence
    Carl Chiarella
    Roberto Dieci
    Laura Gardini
    Lucia Sbragia
    [J]. Computational Economics, 2008, 32 : 55 - 72
  • [49] Betting market equilibrium with heterogeneous beliefs: A prospect theory-based model
    Yu, Dian
    Gao, Jianjun
    Wang, Tongyao
    [J]. EUROPEAN JOURNAL OF OPERATIONAL RESEARCH, 2022, 298 (01) : 137 - 151
  • [50] Heterogeneous Beliefs, Risk and Learning in a Simple Asset Pricing Model
    Chiarella C.
    He X.-Z.
    [J]. Computational Economics, 2002, 19 (1) : 95 - 132