The Extent of Transmission of Novel Coronavirus in Wuhan, China, 2020

被引：266

作者：

Nishiura, Hiroshi ^{[1
,2
]}

Jung, Sung-mok ^{[1
]}

Linton, Natalie M. ^{[1
]}

Kinoshita, Ryo ^{[1
]}

Yang, Yichi ^{[1
]}

Hayashi, Katsuma ^{[1
]}

Kobayashi, Tetsuro ^{[1
]}

Yuan, Baoyin ^{[1
]}

Akhmetzhanov, Andrei R. ^{[1
]}

机构：

[1] Hokkaido Univ, Grad Sch Med, Kita Ku, Kita 15 Jo Nishi 7 Chome, Sapporo, Hokkaido 0608638, Japan

[2] Japan Sci & Technol Agcy, CREST, Honcho 4-1-8, Kawaguchi, Saitama 3320012, Japan

来源：

JOURNAL OF CLINICAL MEDICINE | 2020年 / 9卷 / 02期

基金：

日本学术振兴会; 日本科学技术振兴机构;

关键词：

epidemiology; foreigner; travel; migration; importation; emerging infectious diseases;

D O I：

10.3390/jcm9020330

中图分类号：

R5 [内科学];

学科分类号：

1002 ; 100201 ;

摘要：

A cluster of pneumonia cases linked to a novel coronavirus (2019-nCoV) was reported by China in late December 2019. Reported case incidence has now reached the hundreds, but this is likely an underestimate. As of 24 January 2020, with reports of thirteen exportation events, we estimate the cumulative incidence in China at 5502 cases (95% confidence interval: 3027, 9057). The most plausible number of infections is in the order of thousands, rather than hundreds, and there is a strong indication that untraced exposures other than the one in the epidemiologically linked seafood market in Wuhan have occurred.

引用

页数：5

共 50 条

[21] Bioinformatics analysis of Wuhan novel coronavirus pathogen: A clue for finding antiviral drug against Wuhan novel coronavirus
Mungmunpuntipantip, Rujittika
Wiwanitkit, Viroj
JOURNAL OF RESEARCH IN MEDICAL SCIENCES, 2020, 25
[22] Pattern of early human-to-human transmission of Wuhan 2019 novel coronavirus (2019-nCoV), December 2019 to January 2020
Riou, Julien
Althaus, Christian L.
EUROSURVEILLANCE, 2020, 25 (04) : 7 - 11
[23] Initial Cluster of Novel Coronavirus (2019-nCoV) Infections in Wuhan, China Is Consistent with Substantial Human-to-Human Transmission
Nishiura, Hiroshi
Linton, Natalie M.
Akhmetzhanov, Andrei R.
JOURNAL OF CLINICAL MEDICINE, 2020, 9 (02)
[24] Human to Human Transmission of Wuhan Novel Coronavirus Infection outside China: Situation of the First Case and What's the Source of Infection?
Mungmungpuntipantip, Rujittika
Wiwanitkit, Viroj
INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF PREVENTIVE MEDICINE, 2020, 11 (01)
[25] Early epidemiological assessment of the transmission potential and virulence of coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) in Wuhan City, China, January–February, 2020
Kenji Mizumoto
Katsushi Kagaya
Gerardo Chowell
BMC Medicine, 18
[26] Transmission and clinical characteristics of coronavirus disease 2019 in 104 outside-Wuhan patients, China
Qiu, Chengfeng
Deng, Ziwei
Xiao, Qian
Shu, Yuanlu
Deng, Ye
Wang, Hongqiang
Liao, Xin
Liu, Huiwen
Zhou, Dinghui
Zhao, Xiang
Zhou, Jianliang
Wang, Jin
Shi, Zhihua
Long, Da
JOURNAL OF MEDICAL VIROLOGY, 2020, 92 (10) : 2027 - 2035
[27] Updated understanding of the outbreak of 2019 novel coronavirus (2019-nCoV) in Wuhan, China
Wang, Weier
Tang, Jianming
Wei, Fangqiang
JOURNAL OF MEDICAL VIROLOGY, 2020, 92 (04) : 441 - 447
[28] Association of radiologic findings with mortality of patients infected with 2019 novel coronavirus in Wuhan, China
Yuan, Mingli
Yin, Wen
Tao, Zhaowu
Tan, Weijun
Hu, Yi
PLOS ONE, 2020, 15 (03):
[29] Case analysis of novel coronavirus pneumonia in the Second Hospital of Wuhan Iron and Steel Company, Qingshan District, Wuhan, China
Liu, Meirong
Lyu, Yang
Zhao, Wenchang
Yu, Shuang
Shi, Dongsheng
Lu, Wei
ANNALS OF PALLIATIVE MEDICINE, 2020, 9 (04) : 2193 - +
[30] Clinical features of familial clustering in patients infected with 2019 novel coronavirus in Wuhan, China
Li, Jinzhong
Gong, Xiaobing
Wang, Zhigang
Chen, Renzhou
Li, Taoyuan
Zeng, Dongyu
Li, Minran
VIRUS RESEARCH, 2020, 286

← 1 2 3 4 5 →