Economic Impact of Photovoltaic Power Forecast Error on Power System Operation in Japan

被引：0
|
作者：
Udagawa, Yusuke [1 ]
Ogimoto, Kazuhiko [1 ]
Fonseca, Joao Gari da Silva, Jr. [1 ]
Ohtake, Hideaki [2 ]
Fukutome, Suguru [3 ]
机构：
[1] Univ Tokyo, Tokyo, Japan
[2] Natl Inst Adv Ind Sci & Technol, Tokyo, Japan
[3] JP Business Serv Corp, Tokyo, Japan
来源：
2017 IEEE MANCHESTER POWERTECH | 2017年
关键词：
Forecast Accuracy; Photovoltaic; Power Supply-Demand Balance; Unit Commitment;
D O I：
暂无
中图分类号：
TM [电工技术]; TN [电子技术、通信技术];
学科分类号：
0808 ; 0809 ;
摘要：
In this study, we analyzed the operational situation and cost for Tokyo Electric Power Company's service area by 2030, when a high penetration of variable renewable energy (VRE) sources will have been attained. Day-ahead unit commitment and real-time economic dispatch simulation were carried out by taking into account photovoltaic power yield forecasts and errors. The analysis allowed us to evaluate the economic impact of forecasting errors from VRE sources on the annual supply and demand balance within the target area. The analysis also showed that the use of day-ahead forecasting reduced the amount of unserved energy and shrank photovoltaic power yield curtailment in real-time operations.
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页数：6
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