United States presidential election;
COVID-19;
pandemic;
Global economy;
Financial market;
Uncertainty;
News -based variable;
PANEL-DATA;
D O I:
10.1016/j.frl.2021.102113
中图分类号:
F8 [财政、金融];
学科分类号:
0202 ;
摘要:
The paper examines the United States 2020 presidential election drivers and effects, under the uncertainty caused by COVID-19. By considering news-based, financial markets, and coronavirus specific inputs in panel data framework, the results reveal that COVID-19 affects candidates' chances. Biden's electorate reacts positive to news regarding unemployment or healthcare, stress level on financial markets or Country Sentiment Index. Trump's opportunities increase with coronavirus indicators or news about populism. However, President-elect Biden must provide solutions for national economy issues like unemployment, budget deficit or healthcare inequalities. Simultaneously, having extensive prerogatives on trade and investment partnerships, influences mitigation of COVID-19 global effects.
机构:
George Mason Univ, Coll Hlth & Human Serv, Fairfax, VA 22030 USA
Natl Bur Econ Res, Cambridge, MA 02138 USAGeorge Mason Univ, Coll Hlth & Human Serv, Fairfax, VA 22030 USA
Cuellar, Alison
Mark, Tami L.
论文数: 0引用数: 0
h-index: 0
机构:
RTI Int, Rockville, MD USAGeorge Mason Univ, Coll Hlth & Human Serv, Fairfax, VA 22030 USA
Mark, Tami L.
Sharfstein, Steven S.
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h-index: 0
机构:
Sheppard Pratt Hlth Syst, Baltimore, MD USAGeorge Mason Univ, Coll Hlth & Human Serv, Fairfax, VA 22030 USA
Sharfstein, Steven S.
Huskamp, Haiden A.
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h-index: 0
机构:
Harvard Med Sch, Dept Hlth Care Policy, Boston, MA USAGeorge Mason Univ, Coll Hlth & Human Serv, Fairfax, VA 22030 USA
机构:
Univ Calif Los Angeles, David Geffen Sch Med, Dept Med, Los Angeles, CA 90024 USAUniv Calif Los Angeles, David Geffen Sch Med, Dept Med, Los Angeles, CA 90024 USA
Norris, Keith
Gonzalez, Cynthia
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h-index: 0
机构:
Charles R Drew Univ Med & Sci, 1621 E 120th St, Los Angeles, CA 90059 USA
Pardee RAND Grad Sch, Santa Monica, CA USAUniv Calif Los Angeles, David Geffen Sch Med, Dept Med, Los Angeles, CA 90024 USA
机构:
John von Neumann Univ, Kecskemet, Hungary
Univ Johannesburg, Coll Business & Econ, ZA-2006 Johannesburg, South AfricaJohn von Neumann Univ, Kecskemet, Hungary
机构:
Ind & Commercial Bank China, Postdoctoral Res Ctr, Beijing 100140, Peoples R China
Chinese Acad Sci, Acad Math & Syst Sci, Zhongguancun East Rd 55, Beijing 100190, Peoples R ChinaInd & Commercial Bank China, Postdoctoral Res Ctr, Beijing 100140, Peoples R China
Cheng, Zishu
Li, Mingchen
论文数: 0引用数: 0
h-index: 0
机构:
Chinese Acad Sci, Acad Math & Syst Sci, Zhongguancun East Rd 55, Beijing 100190, Peoples R China
Univ Chinese Acad Sci, Sch Math Sci, Beijing 100190, Peoples R ChinaInd & Commercial Bank China, Postdoctoral Res Ctr, Beijing 100140, Peoples R China
Li, Mingchen
Cui, Ruhong
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h-index: 0
机构:
Chinese Acad Sci, Acad Math & Syst Sci, Zhongguancun East Rd 55, Beijing 100190, Peoples R China
China Secur Regulatory Commiss, Postdoctoral Res Ctr, Beijing 100033, Peoples R ChinaInd & Commercial Bank China, Postdoctoral Res Ctr, Beijing 100140, Peoples R China
Cui, Ruhong
Wei, Yunjie
论文数: 0引用数: 0
h-index: 0
机构:
Chinese Acad Sci, Acad Math & Syst Sci, Zhongguancun East Rd 55, Beijing 100190, Peoples R China
Chinese Acad Sci, Ctr Forecasting Sci, Acad Math & Syst Sci, Beijing 100190, Peoples R ChinaInd & Commercial Bank China, Postdoctoral Res Ctr, Beijing 100140, Peoples R China
Wei, Yunjie
Wang, Shouyang
论文数: 0引用数: 0
h-index: 0
机构:
Chinese Acad Sci, Acad Math & Syst Sci, Zhongguancun East Rd 55, Beijing 100190, Peoples R China
Chinese Acad Sci, Ctr Forecasting Sci, Acad Math & Syst Sci, Beijing 100190, Peoples R ChinaInd & Commercial Bank China, Postdoctoral Res Ctr, Beijing 100140, Peoples R China
Wang, Shouyang
Hong, Yongmiao
论文数: 0引用数: 0
h-index: 0
机构:
Chinese Acad Sci, Acad Math & Syst Sci, Zhongguancun East Rd 55, Beijing 100190, Peoples R China
Chinese Acad Sci, Ctr Forecasting Sci, Acad Math & Syst Sci, Beijing 100190, Peoples R ChinaInd & Commercial Bank China, Postdoctoral Res Ctr, Beijing 100140, Peoples R China