Tourism demand forecasting with time series imaging: A deep learning model

被引:65
|
作者
Bi, Jian-Wu [1 ]
Li, Hui [1 ]
Fan, Zhi-Ping [2 ,3 ]
机构
[1] Nankai Univ, Coll Tourism & Serv Management, Tianjin 300350, Peoples R China
[2] Northeastern Univ, Sch Business Adm, Dept Informat Management & Decis Sci, Shenyang 110167, Peoples R China
[3] Northeastern Univ, State Key Lab Synthet Automat Proc Ind, Shenyang 110819, Peoples R China
基金
中国博士后科学基金; 中国国家自然科学基金;
关键词
Tourism demand forecasting; Time series imaging; Deep learning; Convolutional neural networks; Long short-term memory networks; SEASONALITY; COMBINATION; PERFORMANCE; ACCURACY;
D O I
10.1016/j.annals.2021.103255
中图分类号
F [经济];
学科分类号
02 ;
摘要
To leverage computer vision technology to improve the accuracy of tourism demand forecasting, a model based on deep learning with time series imaging is proposed. The model consists of three parts: sequence image generation, image feature extraction, and model training. In the first part, the tourism demand data are encoded into images. In the second part, the convolution and pooling layers are used to extract features from the obtained images. In the final part, the extracted features are input into long short-term memory networks. Based on historical tourism demand data, the model for forecasting future tourism demand can be obtained. The performance of the proposed model is experimentally assessed through comparing against seven benchmark models. (c) 2021 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.
引用
收藏
页数:21
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