Exponential smoothing of seasonal data: A comparison

被引:0
|
作者
Snyder, RD [1 ]
Shami, RG [1 ]
机构
[1] Monash Univ, Fac Business & Econ, Dept Econometr & Business Stat, Clayton, Vic 3168, Australia
关键词
time series; forecasting; exponential smoothing; Holt-Winters method; structural models; M-competition;
D O I
10.1002/1099-131X(200104)20:3<197::AID-FOR789>3.0.CO;2-L
中图分类号
F [经济];
学科分类号
02 ;
摘要
A parsimonious method of exponential smoothing is introduced for time series generated from a combination of local trends and local seasonal effects. It is compared with the additive version of the Holt-Winters method of forecasting on a standard collection of real time series. Copyright (C) 2001 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.
引用
收藏
页码:197 / 202
页数:6
相关论文
共 50 条
  • [31] ROBUST EXPONENTIAL SMOOTHING
    CIPRA, T
    [J]. JOURNAL OF FORECASTING, 1992, 11 (01) : 57 - 69
  • [32] Exponential smoothing spreadsheets
    Harris, R. Scott
    Hill, Joshua
    Harris, Talia
    [J]. JOURNAL OF ECONOMIC EDUCATION, 2018, 49 (04): : 366 - 366
  • [34] Short-term electricity demand forecasting using double seasonal exponential smoothing
    Taylor, JW
    [J]. JOURNAL OF THE OPERATIONAL RESEARCH SOCIETY, 2003, 54 (08) : 799 - 805
  • [35] Setting method of smoothing constant in exponential smoothing
    Morimoto, J
    Kasamatsu, H
    Higuchi, A
    Yoshida, T
    Tabuchi, T
    [J]. SICE 2004 ANNUAL CONFERENCE, VOLS 1-3, 2004, : 1735 - 1738
  • [36] Comparison of exponential smoothing methods in forecasting global prices of main metals
    Kahraman, Esma
    Akay, Ozlem
    [J]. MINERAL ECONOMICS, 2023, 36 (03) : 427 - 435
  • [37] Comparison of exponential smoothing methods in forecasting global prices of main metals
    Esma Kahraman
    Ozlem Akay
    [J]. Mineral Economics, 2023, 36 : 427 - 435
  • [38] Comparison of Exponential Smoothing Methods in Forecasting Palm Oil Real Production
    Siregar, B.
    Butar-Butar, I. A.
    Rahmat, R. F.
    Andayani, U.
    Fahmi, F.
    [J]. 1ST INTERNATIONAL CONFERENCE ON COMPUTING AND APPLIED INFORMATICS 2016 : APPLIED INFORMATICS TOWARD SMART ENVIRONMENT, PEOPLE, AND SOCIETY, 2017, 801
  • [39] RECURSIVE FORECASTING, SMOOTHING AND SEASONAL ADJUSTMENT OF NONSTATIONARY ENVIRONMENTAL DATA
    YOUNG, PC
    NG, CN
    LANE, K
    PARKER, D
    [J]. JOURNAL OF FORECASTING, 1991, 10 (1-2) : 57 - 89
  • [40] Data Mining For Inventory Forecasting Using Double Exponential Smoothing Method
    Hasmin, Erfan
    Aini, Nurul
    [J]. PROCEEDINGS OF ICORIS 2020: 2020 THE 2ND INTERNATIONAL CONFERENCE ON CYBERNETICS AND INTELLIGENT SYSTEM (ICORIS), 2020, : 43 - 47