We investigate the relationship between political networks, weak institutions, and election fraud during the 2010 parliamentary election in Afghanistan combining: (i) data on political connections between candidates and election officials; (ii) a nationwide controlled evaluation of a novel monitoring technology; and (iii) direct measurements of aggregation fraud. We find considerable evidence of aggregation fraud in favor of connected candidates and that the announcement of a new monitoring technology reduced theft of election materials by about 60 percent and vote counts for connected candidates by about 25 percent. The results have implications for electoral competition and are potentially actionable for policymakers.
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Xi An Jiao Tong Univ, Sch Publ Policy & Adm, Xian 710049, Shaanxi, Peoples R ChinaXi An Jiao Tong Univ, Sch Publ Policy & Adm, Xian 710049, Shaanxi, Peoples R China
Yang, Xiaojun
Nie, Zihan
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Univ Gothenburg, Dept Econ, Gothenburg, Sweden
Wageningen Univ & Res, Dev Econ Grp, Wageningen, NetherlandsXi An Jiao Tong Univ, Sch Publ Policy & Adm, Xian 710049, Shaanxi, Peoples R China
Nie, Zihan
Qiu, Jianying
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Radboud Univ Nijmegen, Dept Econ, Nijmegen, NetherlandsXi An Jiao Tong Univ, Sch Publ Policy & Adm, Xian 710049, Shaanxi, Peoples R China
Qiu, Jianying
Tu, Qin
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Beijing Normal Univ, Ctr Innovat & Dev Studies, Zhuhai 519087, Peoples R ChinaXi An Jiao Tong Univ, Sch Publ Policy & Adm, Xian 710049, Shaanxi, Peoples R China