Bootstrap Prediction Interval Estimation for Wind Speed Forecasting

被引：0

作者：

Errouissi, Rachid ^{[1
]}

Cardenas-Barrera, Julian ^{[2
]}

Meng, Julian ^{[2
]}

Castillo-Guerra, Eduardo ^{[2
]}

Gong, Xun ^{[2
]}

Chang, Liuchen ^{[2
]}

机构：

[1] Petr Inst, Dept Elect Engn, Abu Dhabi, U Arab Emirates

[2] Univ New Brunswick, Dept Elect & Comp Engn, Fredericton, NB, Canada

来源：

2015 IEEE ENERGY CONVERSION CONGRESS AND EXPOSITION (ECCE) | 2015年

关键词：

prediction interval; uncertainty; probabilistic forecasting; bootstrap; wind energy; POWER; UNCERTAINTY;

D O I：

暂无

中图分类号：

TE [石油、天然气工业]; TK [能源与动力工程];

学科分类号：

0807 ; 0820 ;

摘要：

In this work we apply a bootstrap method to obtain probabilistic forecasts from past single-valued forecasts offered by a Numerical Weather Prediction model. The potential of the proposed method is assessed with real data from four wind farms in Eastern Canada. The methodology can be extended to other existing point forecasting methods.

引用

页码：1919 / 1924

页数：6

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