We test for fractional dynamics in inflation rates based on the consumer price index (CPI) for 27 countries and inflation rates based on the wholesale price index (WPI) for 22 countries, The fractional differencing parameter is estimated using semiparametric and approximate maximum likelihood methods. Significant evidence of fractional dynamics with long-memory features is found in both CPI- and WPI-based inflation rates for industrial as well as developing countries. Implications of the findings are considered, and sources of long memory are hypothesized.
机构:
Renmin Univ China, Sch Finance, China Financial Policy Res Ctr, Beijing 100872, Peoples R ChinaRenmin Univ China, Sch Finance, China Financial Policy Res Ctr, Beijing 100872, Peoples R China
机构:
Int Monetary Fund, All Int Monetary Fund, 700 19th St NW, Washington, DC 20431 USAInt Monetary Fund, All Int Monetary Fund, 700 19th St NW, Washington, DC 20431 USA
Bems, Rudolfs
Caselli, Francesca
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Int Monetary Fund, All Int Monetary Fund, 700 19th St NW, Washington, DC 20431 USAInt Monetary Fund, All Int Monetary Fund, 700 19th St NW, Washington, DC 20431 USA
Caselli, Francesca
Grigoli, Francesco
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Int Monetary Fund, All Int Monetary Fund, 700 19th St NW, Washington, DC 20431 USAInt Monetary Fund, All Int Monetary Fund, 700 19th St NW, Washington, DC 20431 USA
Grigoli, Francesco
Gruss, Bertrand
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Int Monetary Fund, All Int Monetary Fund, 700 19th St NW, Washington, DC 20431 USAInt Monetary Fund, All Int Monetary Fund, 700 19th St NW, Washington, DC 20431 USA