Undetected Allee effects in Australia's threatened birds: implications for conservation

Allee effects occur when survival or reproductive success declines with decreasing population size or density. Species most severely impacted by Allee effects may be the very species for which these effects will be hardest to detect and overcome. This impedes effective conservation through a lack of evidence to drive management actions. We review the literature to identify (1) component Allee effects (components of fitness) which could lead to a demographic Allee effect (effect of all components on the population growth rate) in bird populations; and (2) traits that make species susceptible to component Allee effects. Concurrently, we assess the potential for undetected Allee effects to negatively influence the population growth rate of 14 critically endangered Australian bird species or subspecies. Whilst some (e.g. Helmeted Honeyeater) are unlikely to suffer from a demographic Allee effect, several (e.g. Great Knot, Orange-bellied Parrot) are susceptible to a number of component Allee effects and, hence, a demographic Allee effect. However, traits of the Regent Honeyeater suggests this species' decline in particular is accelerated by an undetected demographic Allee effect. For this species and others, an inability to detect Allee effects need not preclude efforts to account for their potential presence through precautionary conservation management.