Eliciting subjective probability distributions with binary lotteries

被引：11

作者：

Harrison, Glenn W. ^{[1
,2
,5
,6
]}

Martinez-Correa, Jimmy ^{[3
]}

Swarthout, J. Todd ^{[4
]}

Ulm, Eric R. ^{[1
]}

机构：

[1] Georgia State Univ, Robinson Coll Business, Dept Risk Management & Insurance, Atlanta, GA 30303 USA

[2] Georgia State Univ, Robinson Coll Business, Ctr Econ Anal Risk, Atlanta, GA 30303 USA

[3] Copenhagen Business Sch, Dept Econ, Copenhagen, Denmark

[4] Georgia State Univ, Andrew Young Sch Policy Studies, Dept Econ, Atlanta, GA 30303 USA

[5] Univ Cape Town, Sch Econ, ZA-7700 Rondebosch, South Africa

[6] IZA Inst Study Labor, Bonn, Germany

来源：

ECONOMICS LETTERS | 2015年 / 127卷

关键词：

Subjective belief distributions; Risk attitudes; Experiments; RISK-AVERSION;

D O I：

10.1016/j.econlet.2014.12.027

中图分类号：

F [经济];

学科分类号：

02 ;

摘要：

We test in a laboratory experiment the theoretical prediction that risk attitudes have a surprisingly small role in distorting reports from true belief distributions. We find evidence consistent with theory in our experiment. (C) 2014 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.

引用

页码：68 / 71

页数：4

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