Background Venetoclax is a selective inhibitor of B-cell lymphoma-2, which plays a role in the development of various autoimmune diseases including systemic lupus erythematosus. The aim of these analyses was to quantify the exposure-response relationship for venetoclax effects on B-lymphocyte and total lymphocyte counts as pharmacodynamic markers of efficacy and safety, respectively, in women with systemic lupus erythematosus. The developed modeling framework was also used to evaluate venetoclax effects following cyclic, continuous, or induction/maintenance dosing paradigms as potential dosing alternatives in systemic lupus erythematosus. Methods Serial pharmacokinetic and lymphocyte count data from 73 women enrolled in a phase I study of venetoclax (single doses of 10-500 mg or two cycles of 30-600 mg or placebo once daily for 7 days followed by a 21-day washout) were analyzed using a sequential population pharmacokinetic/pharmacodynamic modeling approach. Simulations to evaluate changes in B-lymphocyte and total lymphocyte counts following different venetoclax dosing scenarios were conducted. Results Effect of venetoclax plasma exposures on B lymphocytes was described using an indirect linear response model and on total lymphocytes using a maximal response (E-max) with an effect site compartment. Baseline lymphocyte counts were significant covariates on the slope and half maximal inhibitory concentration parameter estimates for the respective models; with higher baseline counts associated with a greater reduction upon treatment with venetoclax. Model simulations showed that continuous dosing with lower doses of venetoclax (e.g., 150 mg daily) are predicted to achieve similar maximal effects on B-lymphocyte counts compared to cyclic dosing with higher doses (e.g., 400 mg 1 week on/3 weeks off); with better recovery of total lymphocyte counts during off-treatment weeks for the cyclic regimens. Conclusions Venetoclax treatment in women with systemic lupus erythematosus was associated with exposure-dependent reductions in B lymphocytes, and to a lesser extent, total lymphocyte counts. Results from this study support evaluation of B-cell lymphoma-2 inhibitors as potential therapies for the treatment of systemic lupus erythematosus. Clinicaltrials.gov NCT01686555.
