An eclectic approach in energy forecasting: a case of Natural Resources Canada's (NRCan's) oil and gas outlook

被引：18
|
作者：
Persaud, AJ
Kumar, U
机构：
[1] Natl Resources Canada, Energy Policy Branch, Supply & Ind Anal, Ottawa, ON K1A 0E4, Canada
[2] Carleton Univ, Sch Business, Ottawa, ON K1S 5B6, Canada
来源：
ENERGY POLICY | 2001年 / 29卷 / 04期
关键词：
energy modeling; energy forecasting; energy demand and supply; sustainable development; oil and gas supply;
D O I：
10.1016/S0301-4215(00)00119-1
中图分类号：
F [经济];
学科分类号：
02 ;
摘要：
Long-term energy outlooks acid forecasting models are assuming an increasingly important role, given the concerns of greenhouse gas emissions, and the current need for analyzing options for meeting the Kyoto Target. The Focus of the paper is on oil and gas supply projections. We present useful insights into the complexities of projecting oil and gas supply, develop an analytical framework which explains the approach used by natural resources Canada (NRCan) in preparing oil and gas supply forecasts, solve the oil and gas supply model (OGSM) and give the projections of oil and natural gas supply and demand to the year 2020. (C) 2001 Elsevier Science Ltd. All rights reserved.
引用
收藏
页码：303 / 313
页数：11
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