On the impact of publicly available news and information transfer to financial markets

被引:1
|
作者
Jazbec, Metod [1 ]
Pasztor, Barna [1 ]
Faltings, Felix [1 ]
Antulov-Fantulin, Nino [2 ,3 ]
Kolm, Petter N. [3 ]
机构
[1] Swiss Fed Inst Technol, Dept Comp Sci, CH-8092 Zurich, Switzerland
[2] Swiss Fed Inst Technol, Computat Social Sci, CH-8092 Zurich, Switzerland
[3] New York Univ, Courant Inst Math Sci, New York, NY 10012 USA
来源
ROYAL SOCIETY OPEN SCIENCE | 2021年 / 8卷 / 07期
关键词
complex systems; financial markets; sentiment analysis; machine learning; transfer entropy; STOCK-PRICE REACTION; TIME-SERIES; CAUSALITY; MODEL; VOLATILITY; RETURNS; ARRIVAL; MEDIA;
D O I
10.1098/rsos.202321
中图分类号
O [数理科学和化学]; P [天文学、地球科学]; Q [生物科学]; N [自然科学总论];
学科分类号
07 ; 0710 ; 09 ;
摘要
We quantify the propagation and absorption of large-scale publicly available news articles from the World Wide Web to financial markets. To extract publicly available information, we use the news archives from the Common Crawl, a non-profit organization that crawls a large part of the web. We develop a processing pipeline to identify news articles associated with the constituent companies in the S&P 500 index, an equity market index that measures the stock performance of US companies. Using machine learning techniques, we extract sentiment scores from the Common Crawl News data and employ tools from information theory to quantify the information transfer from public news articles to the US stock market. Furthermore, we analyse and quantify the economic significance of the news-based information with a simple sentiment-based portfolio trading strategy. Our findings provide support for that information in publicly available news on the World Wide Web has a statistically and economically significant impact on events in financial markets.
引用
收藏
页数:12
相关论文
共 50 条
  • [31] Daily Judgement: Political News and Financial Markets
    Breen, Michael
    McMenamin, Iain
    Courtney, Michael
    McNulty, Gemma
    NEW POLITICAL ECONOMY, 2021, 26 (04) : 616 - 630
  • [32] Impact of STATCOM Control Parameters on Available Transfer Capability Enhancement in Energy Markets
    Kumar, Ravinder
    Kumar, Ashwani
    PROCEEDINGS OF THE 4TH INTERNATIONAL CONFERENCE ON ECO-FRIENDLY COMPUTING AND COMMUNICATION SYSTEMS, 2015, 70 : 515 - 525
  • [33] Visualisation possibilities of publicly available information on events of 2010 in Lithuania and crime information
    Eismontaite, Agne
    Beconyte, Giedre
    FILOSOFIJA-SOCIOLOGIJA, 2011, 22 (04): : 405 - 413
  • [34] Can Information from Publicly Available Sources Reveal Manipulation of Financial Statements? Case Study of Czech and Slovak Companies
    Hyblova, Eva
    Kolcavova, Alena
    Urbanek, Tomas
    Petrakova, Zora
    SCIENTIFIC PAPERS OF THE UNIVERSITY OF PARDUBICE-SERIES D-FACULTY OF ECONOMICS AND ADMINISTRATION, 2022, 30 (03):
  • [35] Identification of marginal generation units based on publicly available information
    Hu, Tingli
    Wang, Caisheng
    Miller, Carol
    APPLIED ENERGY, 2021, 281
  • [36] Assessing the quality of life history information in publicly available databases
    Thorson, James T.
    Cope, Jason M.
    Patrick, Wesley S.
    ECOLOGICAL APPLICATIONS, 2014, 24 (01) : 217 - 226
  • [37] Harnessing The Information Available within Publicly Available Gene Expression Repositories for Breast Cancer
    McCumiskey, M.
    Judge, C.
    Hogan, J.
    Merrigan, Ba
    Lal, A.
    Lowery, A.
    Coffey, J. C.
    Dalton, T.
    Kiely, P.
    Tormey, S.
    IRISH JOURNAL OF MEDICAL SCIENCE, 2017, 186 : S334 - S334
  • [38] Acquisition and Processing of Information from Slovak Publicly Available Data
    Hricova, Romana
    Adamcik, Stanislav
    INDUSTRY 4.0: TRENDS IN MANAGEMENT OF INTELLIGENT MANUFACTURING SYSTEMS, 2019, : 23 - 35
  • [39] A vision for integrated publicly available information on regulated medical products
    Roberts, Khyati
    Thakkar, Roopal
    Aljuburi, Lina
    Boyce, Donna
    Curtis, Sean
    Dudinak, Jennifer
    Fitton, Helen
    Garner, Carlos
    Garvin, Michael
    Longman, Susan
    Reilly, Edward
    Maitland, Jordan
    Miller, Alexis Reisin
    Paste, Muriel
    Rohrer, Michelle
    Taisey, Mark
    Van Baelen, Karin
    Wegner, Max
    CTS-CLINICAL AND TRANSLATIONAL SCIENCE, 2022, 15 (06): : 1321 - 1327
  • [40] Examining Disease Risk Factors by Mining Publicly Available Information
    Pedersen, Jay
    Liu, Fangyao
    Alfarraj, Fahad
    Ngondo, Harry
    FIRST INTERNATIONAL CONFERENCE ON INFORMATION TECHNOLOGY AND QUANTITATIVE MANAGEMENT, 2013, 17 : 48 - 53