Towards a co-evolutionary framework for implementing sustainable development

被引:4
|
作者
vanJaarsveld, AS [1 ]
机构
[1] UNIV CAMBRIDGE, FAC SOCIAL & POLIT SCI, GLOBAL SECUR FELLOWS INITIAT, CAMBRIDGE CB2 3RQ, ENGLAND
关键词
sustainable development; co-evolutionary and non-deterministic; implementation;
D O I
10.1080/13504509609469920
中图分类号
X [环境科学、安全科学];
学科分类号
08 ; 0830 ;
摘要
A quantitative method which can be used to gauge the sustainability of existing sociocultural, economic and environmental constructs is proposed. An underlying assumption of the approach is that a co-evolutionary relationship exists between social, cultural, economic and environmental systems and that these cannot be addressed in a reductionist and deterministic manner. The method focuses on both broad trends and patterns of variance in a multivariate data matrix, it allows the identification of dominant trends as well as underlying tensions, does not treat socio-cultural, economic and environmental heterogeneity as statistical noise and can be applied at different administrative scales. Furthermore, it may be used to identify potential sources of human insecurity, factors that may affect the probability of positive human survival, developmental patterns at odds with the established values system of civil society that can be targeted for political action, and to inform public debate. In addition, the method can be used to identify unexpected synergies between variables and may serve as an early warning system for regional planners.
引用
收藏
页码:15 / 37
页数:23
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