Models proposal for the day-ahead electricity prices in the US electricity market

被引:0
|
作者
Culik, Miroslav [1 ]
Valecky, Jiri [1 ]
机构
[1] Tech Univ Ostrava, Fac Econ, Dept Finance, Ostrava 70121, Czech Republic
关键词
Autocorrelation; autoregression; Breusch-Godfrey test; Durbin-Watson statistic; electricity; electricity price; geometric Brownian model; homoscedasticity; heteroscedasticity; mean-reversion process; jump process; Lagrange Multiplier; spot price; seasonality; Wiener process;
D O I
暂无
中图分类号
F [经济];
学科分类号
02 ;
摘要
This paper is focused on the possibilities of electricity modelling at deregulated European and U.S. electricity market. First, characteristics of electricity price behaviour are described. Next, models frequently used for financial variables modelling are described. In the practical part, electricity day-ahead models are proposed and statistically verified (prices and residuals). Results are compared and general conclusions are made.
引用
收藏
页码:53 / 62
页数:10
相关论文
共 50 条
  • [31] Risk premia in the German day-ahead electricity market revisited: The impact of negative prices
    Valitov, Niyaz
    [J]. ENERGY ECONOMICS, 2019, 82 : 70 - 77
  • [32] Supplier risk analysis in the day-ahead electricity market
    Caruso, E.
    Dicorato, M.
    Minoia, A.
    Trovato, M.
    [J]. IEE PROCEEDINGS-GENERATION TRANSMISSION AND DISTRIBUTION, 2006, 153 (03) : 335 - 342
  • [33] Energy Storage Operation in the Day-Ahead Electricity Market
    Pandzic, Hrvoje
    Kuzle, Igor
    [J]. 2015 12TH INTERNATIONAL CONFERENCE ON THE EUROPEAN ENERGY MARKET (EEM), 2015,
  • [34] Electricity price forecasting for PJM day-ahead market
    Mandal, Paras
    Senjyu, Tomonobu
    Urasaki, Naomitsu
    Funabashi, Toshihisa
    Srivastava, Anurag K.
    [J]. 2006 IEEE/PES POWER SYSTEMS CONFERENCE AND EXPOSITION. VOLS 1-5, 2006, : 1321 - +
  • [35] Risk premiums in the German day-ahead Electricity Market
    Viehmann, Johannes
    [J]. ENERGY POLICY, 2011, 39 (01) : 386 - 394
  • [36] Day-ahead forward premiums in the Texas electricity market
    Zarnikau, Jay
    Woo, Chi-Keung
    Gillett, Carlos
    Ho, Tony
    Zhu, Shuangshuang
    Leung, Eric
    [J]. JOURNAL OF ENERGY MARKETS, 2015, 8 (02) : 1 - 20
  • [37] Day-Ahead Price Forecasting for the Spanish Electricity Market
    Romero, Alvaro
    Ramon Dorronsoro, Jose
    Diaz, Julia
    [J]. INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF INTERACTIVE MULTIMEDIA AND ARTIFICIAL INTELLIGENCE, 2019, 5 (04): : 42 - 50
  • [38] The impact of renewable energies on EEX day-ahead electricity prices
    Paraschiv, Florentina
    Erni, David
    Pietsch, Ralf
    [J]. ENERGY POLICY, 2014, 73 : 196 - 210
  • [39] Application of GARCH model in the forecasting of day-ahead electricity prices
    Li, Chengjun
    Zhang, Ming
    [J]. ICNC 2007: THIRD INTERNATIONAL CONFERENCE ON NATURAL COMPUTATION, VOL 1, PROCEEDINGS, 2007, : 99 - +
  • [40] A GARCH forecasting model to predict day-ahead electricity prices
    Garcia, RC
    Contreras, J
    van Akkeren, M
    Garcia, JBC
    [J]. IEEE TRANSACTIONS ON POWER SYSTEMS, 2005, 20 (02) : 867 - 874