Evaluating real estate valuation systems

被引:20
|
作者
Shiller, RJ
Weiss, AN
机构
[1] Yale Univ, Cowles Fdn, New Haven, CT 06520 USA
[2] Case Schiller Weiss Inc, Cambridge, MA 02138 USA
来源
关键词
appraisal; automated valuation models (AVMs); accuracy; mortgage; default; foreclosure; density estimation and profit simulation (DEPS) method;
D O I
10.1023/A:1007756607862
中图分类号
F8 [财政、金融];
学科分类号
0202 ;
摘要
A framework for comparing real estate valuation systems (including automated valuation models (AVMs) and current appraisal methods) is proposed. The density estimation and profit simulation (DEPS) method measures quality of a valuation system by simulating benefits to the mortgage lender who uses this method in mortgage underwriting to limit mortgage portfolio losses due to default. Related simple measures relevant to the selection of a valuation system are also discussed: skewness of the distribution of errors, correlation of valuation errors with current selling price errors, correlation of errors of the valuation system with errors of valuation systems used by competing mortgage lenders, and other measures.
引用
收藏
页码:147 / 161
页数:15
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