Are global terrorist attacks time-correlated?

被引：28

作者：

Telesca, L ^{[1
]}

Lovallo, M ^{[1
]}

机构：

[1] CNR, Ist Metodol Anal Ambientale, I-85050 Tito, PZ, Italy

来源：

PHYSICA A-STATISTICAL MECHANICS AND ITS APPLICATIONS | 2006年 / 362卷 / 02期

关键词：

terrorism; Allan factor; scaling; correlation; time-clustering;

D O I：

10.1016/j.physa.2005.08.030

中图分类号：

O4 [物理学];

学科分类号：

0702 ;

摘要：

Is there any kind of "memory" in the sequence of terror attacks worldwide? Are the terrorist attacks non-randomly time distributed? Our analysis suggests that they are correlated, which means that a terror event is not independent from the time elapsed since the previous event. But, if we consider terror attacks with a large severity index (number of fatalities or injured), the phenomenon is unpredictable, since it approaches a Poisson process (random, independent and uncorrelated). (c) 2005 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.

引用

页码：480 / 484

页数：5

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