Use of microsatellite loci to classify individuals by relatedness

This study investigates the use of microsatellite loci for estimating relatedness between individuals in wild, outbred, vertebrate populations. We measured allele frequencies at 20 unlinked, dinucleotide-repeat microsatellite loci in a population of wild mice (Mus musculus), and used these observed frequencies to generate the expected distributions of pairwise relatedness among full sib, half sib, and unrelated pairs of individuals, as would be estimated from the microsatellite data. In this population one should be able to discriminate between unrelated and full-sib dyads with at least 97% accuracy, and to discriminate half-sib pairs from unrelated pairs or from full-sib pairs with better than 80% accuracy. If one uses the criterion that parent-offspring pairs must share at least one allele per locus, then only 15% of full-sib pairs, 2% of half-sib pairs, and 0% of unrelated pairs in this population would qualify as potential parent-offspring pairs. We verified that the simulation results (which assume a random mating population in Hardy-Weinberg and linkage equilibrium) accurately predict results one would obtain from this population in real life by scoring laboratory-bred full- and half-sib families whose parents were wild-caught mice from the study population. We also investigated the effects of using different numbers of loci, or loci of different average heterozygosities (He), on misclassification frequencies. Both variables have strong effects on misclassification rate. For example, it requires almost twice as many loci of He = 0.62 to achieve the same accuracy as a given number of loci of HE = 0.75. Finally, we tested the ability of UPGMA clustering to identify family groups in our population. Clustering of allele matching scores among the offspring of four sets of independent maternal half sibships (four females, each mated to two different males) perfectly recovered the true family relationships.