Single bus line timetable optimization with big data: A case study in Beijing

Bus lines are suffering from serious decline in passenger volume due to the rapid development of urban rail transit and shared transport, and big data intelligence may help them change the status quo. However, the tremendous amount of travel data collected in recent years have not got effectively utilization. In order to improve passenger volume for bus lines, this paper devotes to develop a data-driven bus timetable to substitute the existing experience-based bus timetable, which is now widely used by bus lines. Driven by the bus GPS data and IC card data, a timetable optimization model with time-dependent passenger demand and travel time among stops is proposed. The objective of maximizing passenger volume is based on a new preference-based passenger selection model. The working hours constraint is initially formulated, and the headway constraint and departure time constraints are also taken into account. For handling the step functions in both objective and constraints, we introduce a set of 0-1 variables to transform the proposed model into an integer linear programming. A model contraction approach is provided for solving the medium-scale problems and a two-stage solution method is proposed for the large-scale problems. The proposed model and methodology are tested on a real-world bus line in Beijing. The results show that it is able to produce a satisfactory timetable that outperforms the previously used experience-based one in terms of raising the average passenger volume by 8.2%. (C) 2020 Published by Elsevier Inc.